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08/06/2010 - Wichita, KS (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Roberto Castro fired an eight-under 63 on Friday to move atop the leaderboard after the second round of the Wichita Open.
Castro finished 36 holes at 15-under 127 and is two strokes clear at Crestview Country Club.
Steven Bowditch and Scott Gutschewski both shot rounds of six-under 65 on Friday and shared second place at 13-under 129.
First-round leader Matt Davidson posted a four-under 67 in round two and is knotted in fourth place with Dan Buchner, who shot a five-under 66, at minus-12.
MORE TO FOLLOW.
<< Twins sign first-round pick Wimmers
Cleveland, OH (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Minnesota Twins on Friday signed pitcher
Alex Wimmers, who was the club's first-round pick in the 2010 First-Year
Player Draft.
Wimmers, who was named Big Ten Pitcher of the Year for the second co
<< Rays' Pena lands on DL
Toronto, ON (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Tampa Bay Rays have placed first baseman
Carlos Pena on the 15-day disabled list with a plantar fascia sprain in his
right foot.
The move is retroactive to August 1.
Pena is batting .212 with a te
<< Bonds perjury trial to be held in March
San Francisco, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Former San Francisco Giants outfielder
Barry Bonds will stand trail for federal perjury charges on March 21, 2011, it
was announced on Friday.
According to the San Francisco Chronicle, U.S. District
<< Dolphins sign TE Martin
Davie, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Miami Dolphins have signed tight end David
Martin.
No terms of the deal were announced.
Martin caught 65 passes for 753 yards and five touchdowns for the Dolphins in
2007-08 but did not play last s
Bulls sign G Bogans >>
Chicago, IL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Chicago Bulls have signed veteran guard
Keith Bogans.
According to an official blog on the team's website, it is a two-year deal
worth approximately $2.5 million, although the second year is n
Blue Jays get by Rays on late Overbay double >>
Toronto, ON (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Lyle Overbay doubled home the go-ahead run in
the bottom of the seventh inning, and the Toronto Blue Jays edged Tampa Bay,
2-1, in the opener of a three-game series at Rogers Centre.
Edwin Encarnacion doub
Hunter, Weaver help Angels tame Tigers >>
Detroit, MI (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Torii Hunter hit a two-run homer to back seven
strong innings by Jered Weaver as the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim downed
Detroit, 4-2, in the opener of a three-game set from Comerica Park.
Howie Kendrick
Wainwright tosses two-hitter as Cardinals dominate Marlins >>
Miami, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Albert Pujols homered and drove in four runs in
support of Adam Wainwright, who threw a complete-game two-hitter as St. Louis
smothered Florida, 7-0, to open a three-game series.
Wainwright (16-6) walked thr
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The Kentucky Derby's post-position draw happened on Wednesday. And, as is always the case, shortly afterwards, a buzz raced around Churchill Downs. It was a low rumble at first, nothing that the squares in the mint julep crowd pick up right away. But by the time the sun set over the twin spires, the chatter was impossible to ignore. Everyone -- sharps, trainers, owners -- was talking about one thing: the wise guy horse, the pre-draw long shot us mopes didn't have on our radar until it was too late.
"You think you're hearing the scoop," says handicapper Lane Gold. "Then you get to the window, the odds are short, and you missed it."
Recognizing a wise-guy horse early is as hard as picking a Derby bonnet. That's because handicappers don't like hype (see ya, I Want Revenge). They want Thoroughbreds who look good losing prep races like the Santa Anita Derby. They eye horses who ate up the field after starting wide or made an easy transition from synthetic tracks to dirt. They look for ponies who showed muscle gain race to race and those who ran hard after several weeks' rest.
"A wise guy," says John Avello, a bookmaker at Wynn Las Vegas, "looks for a horse who can improve."
When I first wrote Horse Betting for The Mag, which I turned in a three weeks before Wednesday's draw, I predicted these three horses had wise guy potential:
CHOCOLATE CANDY (15-1 in mid-April, currently 20-1 according to Avello): His second-place finish at Santa Anita, following a seven-week layoff, proved two things: He can run after resting, and -- by losing a high-profile prep race -- he wouldn't be overhyped.
DESERT PARTY (15-1; 15-1): He was upset in the UAE Derby by a horse he had beaten twice. The public remembers his loss, but the wise guys his wins.
PIONEEROF THE NILE (8-1; 4-1): The big favorite at Santa Anita struggled to win, so he initially got less hype than Quality Road and I Want Revenge.
You may have noticed that the odds on Pioneerof the Nile have been cut in half, from 8-1 to 4-1. Which means the wise guys took a shine to him long before the post-position draw. But, to be honest, this is one of those years with four elite horses getting everyone's attention, squares and sharps alike.
"You're not gonna get a lot of chatter about a horse that isn't in that group, which includes Pioneer, I Want Revenge, Dunkirk and Friesan Fire," Avello told me Wednesday. "We don't have a group of horses behind those top four who look like real legit contenders."
Come Derby week, the final two elements in picking a wise guy horse are how he's working out and what gate he's coming out of.
(By the way, picking a Preakness favorite is a whole different bale of hay, partially based on how horses finish in the Derby. You can see my analysis of who has the best shot at Pimlico on Insider Sunday morning.)
Well, early in the week I Want Revenge, Pioneerof the Nile and Friesan Fire were working out better than anyone. Some thought Friesan Fire, currently 6-1, might have run too fast, burning a five-furlong run in :57 4/5. "When you are running that fast you have the sense that it took something out of him," says Gold. "The Derby is longer than any horse has run, and if they need that extra surge you worry they won't have it because they burned it in the workout."
But, Gold points out, Friesan Fire's trainer is Larry Jones, Two years ago his horse Hard Spun did a five-eighths workout in :57 3/5 and then went on to finish second, behind Street Sense, in the Derby. "Every trainer has different methods," says Gold. "And clearly he knows what he's doing."
Now, as for starting position, Gold says to remember this: Churchill Downs traditionally has 14 starting gates. For the Derby, it brings out auxiliary gates and between the original 14th gate and the new 15th gate, there is a little more space than there is between gates 1-14. "That 15 position will give you a precious second or two to sort out what's happening to your inside," says Gold. "Sixteen is also okay because you can follow the horse in front of you."
Dunkirk, one of the race favorites, is coming out of gate 15. In 16 is Baffert's Pioneerof the Nile. I Want Revenge drew 13, where Smarty Jones won from in 2004, and Friesan Fire picked the sixth position. "He doesn't have a lot of speed to the inside of him," says Gold. "So he will get a clear shot to be near the front."
All the jibber-jabber means this: Pioneerof the Nile has leapfrogged from 8-1 to being the second favorite, along with Dunkirk, behind I Want Revenge. Meanwhile, Friesan Fire, with a good trainer, a strong week of training and a decent post position, is still at 6-1. "By Saturday, it's possible he could go from fourth to the favorite," says Gold.
In other words, meet Friesan Fire, your 2009 wise guy horse.
"Now," says Avello, "it's time for action."
To visit this horse betting site go to MySportsbook.com for all your horse racing betting needs.
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